Publication: Calculated Risk

First reported 9 hours ago - Updated 9 hours ago - 1 reports

Friday: Jobs, Autos, ISM Manufacturing and More

From Goldman Sachs economist Sven Jari Stehn: July Payroll Preview We expect a 235,000 increase in nonfarm payrolls and a one tenth drop in the unemployment rate to 6.0%. As far as payrolls are concerned, our forecast would be a solid gain but at a pace ... [Published Calculated Risk - 9 hours ago]
First reported 20 hours ago - Updated 12 hours ago - 1 reports

Chicago PMI declines to 52.6

From the Chicago ISM : Chicago Business Barometer Down 10.0 points to 52.6 in July The Chicago Business Barometer dropped 10.0 points to 52.6 in July , significantly down from May’s seven month high of 65.5, led by a collapse in Production and the ordering ... [Published Calculated Risk - 20 hours ago]
Entities: Chicago, PMI, Declination
First reported 14 hours ago - Updated 14 hours ago - 1 reports

Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in June, Lowest since October 2008

Fannie Mae reported today that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in June to 2.05% from 2.08% in May. The serious delinquency rate is down from 2.77% in June 2013, and this is the lowest level since October 2008. The Fannie Mae serious ... [Published Calculated Risk - 14 hours ago]
First reported 16 hours ago - Updated 16 hours ago - 1 reports

Preview: Employment Report for July

Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for July. The consensus, according to Bloomberg, is for an increase of 233,000 non-farm payroll jobs in July (range of estimates between 200,000 and 280,000), and for the unemployment rate ... [Published Calculated Risk - 16 hours ago]
First reported 19 hours ago - Updated 19 hours ago - 1 reports

Restaurant Performance Index declined in June

From the National Restaurant Association: Restaurant Performance Index Declined in June Amid Softer Customer Traffic Due in large part to softer customer traffic levels, the National Restaurant Association’s Restaurant Performance Index (RPI) registered ... [Published Calculated Risk - 19 hours ago]
First reported Jul 30 2014 - Updated 22 hours ago - 1 reports

FOMC Statement: More Tapering

Another $10 billion reduction in asset purchases. Two key statement changes: "a range of labor market indicators suggests that there remains significant underutilization of labor resources" and "Inflation has moved somewhat closer to the Committee's ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
First reported 22 hours ago - Updated 22 hours ago - 1 reports

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 302,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since April 2006

The DOL reports :In the week ending July 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 302,000, an increase of 23,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 5,000 from 284,000 to 279,000. ... [Published Calculated Risk - 22 hours ago]
First reported Jul 30 2014 - Updated Jul 31 2014 - 1 reports

ADP: Private Employment increased 218,000 in July

From ADP: Private sector employment increased by 218,000 jobs from June to July according to the July ADP National Employment Report®. ... The report, which is derived from ADP’s actual payroll data, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
First reported Jul 31 2014 - Updated Jul 31 2014 - 1 reports

Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Chicago PMI

From Tim Duy on the FOMC Statement at Economist's View At the conclusion of this week's FOMC meeting, policymakers released yet another statement that only a FedWatcher could love. It is definitely an exercise in reading between the lines. The Fed ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 31 2014]
Entities: Unemployment, PMI, Chicago
First reported Jul 30 2014 - Updated Jul 30 2014 - 1 reports

Q2 GDP: Investment Contributions

Private investment rebounded in Q2.   Residential investment increased at a 7.5% annual rate in Q2, equipment investment increased at a 7.0% annual rate, and investment in non-residential structures increased at a 5.3% annual rate.  The following graph ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
Entities: Economic Growth
First reported Jul 30 2014 - Updated Jul 30 2014 - 1 reports

BEA: Real GDP increased at 4.0% Annualized Rate in Q2

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product: Second Quarter 2014 (Advance Estimate) Annual Revision: 1999 through First Quarter 2014 Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
First reported Jul 30 2014 - Updated Jul 30 2014 - 1 reports

GDP: A Few Graphs

A few graphs based on the GDP report (including revisions).The first graph shows the contribution to percent change in GDP for residential investment (RI) and state and local governments since 2005.  This shows the huge slump in RI during the housing ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]

Quotes

...Freddie's serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 4.20%. Note: These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure"
..."This month's employment increase shows additional progress." said Susan Woodward, the economist who works with Intuit to create the indexes. "Things continue to get better, but slowly. The jobs added by small business over the most recent six months, including July, are more than double what we saw over the prior six months." • A few comments from Merrill Lynch economists: We look for nonfarm payrolls to increase 250,000 in July, a slight slowdown from the three-month average...
...Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody s Analytics, said, "The July employment gain was softer than June, but remains consistent with a steadily improving job market. At the current pace of job growth unemployment will quickly decline. Layoffs are still receding and hiring and job openings are picking up. If current trends continue, the economy will return to full employment by late 2016.”This was below the consensus forecast for 235,000 private sector jobs added in the ADP report.  The BLS report for July will be released on Friday."
On inventory, according to the Census Bureau : "A house is considered for sale when a permit to build has been issued in permit-issuing places or work has begun on the footings or foundation in nonpermit areas and a sales contract has not been signed nor a deposit accepted." Starting in 1973 the Census Bureau broke this down into three categories: Not Started, Under Construction, and Completed...

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Friday: Jobs, Autos, ISM Manufacturing and More [Published Calculated Risk - 9 hours ago]
Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate d... [Published Calculated Risk - 14 hours ago]
Preview: Employment Report for July [Published Calculated Risk - 16 hours ago]
Restaurant Performance Index declined in June [Published Calculated Risk - 19 hours ago]
Chicago PMI declines to 52.6 [Published Calculated Risk - 20 hours ago]
Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 302,000, ... [Published Calculated Risk - 22 hours ago]
Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Chicago PMI [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 31 2014]
Q2 GDP: Investment Contributions [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
FOMC Statement: More Tapering [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
GDP: A Few Graphs [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
BEA: Real GDP increased at 4.0% Annualized Rate... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
ADP: Private Employment increased 218,000 in July [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increase Sl... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
Wednesday: Q2 GDP, FOMC Statement, ADP Employment [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 30 2014]
A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for Hous... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 29 2014]
House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Rat... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 29 2014]
HVS: Q2 2014 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 29 2014]
Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 9.... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 29 2014]
Tuesday: Case-Shiller [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 29 2014]
Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home In... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 28 2014]
Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 28 2014]
Dallas Fed: Manufacturing "Activity Picks up Pa... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 28 2014]
NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 1.1% in... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 28 2014]
Black Knight (formerly LPS): House Price Index ... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 28 2014]
Monday: Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg Survey [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 28 2014]
FOMC Preview: More Tapering [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 27 2014]
Schedule for Week of July 27th [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 26 2014]
Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 452 In... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 26 2014]
Bank Failure Friday: Greenchoice Bank, Chicago,... [Published Calculated Risk - Jul 26 2014]
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sort by: Date | Relevance
Friday: Jobs, Autos, ISM Manufacturing and More [Published Calculated Risk - 9 hours ago]
From Goldman Sachs economist Sven Jari Stehn: July Payroll Preview We expect a 235,000 increase in nonfarm payrolls and a one tenth drop in the unemployment rate to 6.0%. As far as payrolls are concerned, our forecast would be a solid gain but at a pace ...
Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate d... [Published Calculated Risk - 14 hours ago]
Fannie Mae reported today that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in June to 2.05% from 2.08% in May. The serious delinquency rate is down from 2.77% in June 2013, and this is the lowest level since October 2008. The Fannie Mae serious ...
Preview: Employment Report for July [Published Calculated Risk - 16 hours ago]
Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for July. The consensus, according to Bloomberg, is for an increase of 233,000 non-farm payroll jobs in July (range of estimates between 200,000 and 280,000), and for the unemployment rate ...
Restaurant Performance Index declined in June [Published Calculated Risk - 19 hours ago]
From the National Restaurant Association: Restaurant Performance Index Declined in June Amid Softer Customer Traffic Due in large part to softer customer traffic levels, the National Restaurant Association’s Restaurant Performance Index (RPI) registered ...
Chicago PMI declines to 52.6 [Published Calculated Risk - 20 hours ago]
From the Chicago ISM : Chicago Business Barometer Down 10.0 points to 52.6 in July The Chicago Business Barometer dropped 10.0 points to 52.6 in July , significantly down from May’s seven month high of 65.5, led by a collapse in Production and the ordering ...
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ...
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